Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.035438 0.038284 0.041271 0.044644 0.048352 0.052310 0.056861
2025-03-02 0.030812 0.034822 0.039263 0.044565 0.050747 0.057755 0.066344
2025-03-09 0.027372 0.031977 0.037285 0.043894 0.051953 0.061531 0.073874
2025-03-16 0.024696 0.029616 0.035469 0.043007 0.052544 0.064324 0.080161
2025-03-23 0.022783 0.027934 0.034231 0.042580 0.053484 0.067423 0.086880
2025-03-30 0.021207 0.026509 0.033143 0.042166 0.054292 0.070274 0.093358
2025-04-06 0.019686 0.025021 0.031834 0.041311 0.054369 0.072055 0.098399
2025-04-13 0.018871 0.024380 0.031560 0.041770 0.056193 0.076274 0.107137
2025-04-20 0.017980 0.023570 0.030986 0.041747 0.057297 0.079498 0.114622
2025-04-27 0.017374 0.023099 0.030831 0.042269 0.059173 0.083919 0.124223
2025-05-04 0.016580 0.022319 0.030188 0.042035 0.059895 0.086632 0.131341
2025-05-11 0.015869 0.021612 0.029603 0.041832 0.060621 0.089362 0.138660
2025-05-18 0.015155 0.020872 0.028938 0.041479 0.061109 0.091776 0.145714
2025-05-25 0.014586 0.020312 0.028503 0.041442 0.062072 0.094996 0.154403
2025-06-01 0.013905 0.019552 0.027731 0.040834 0.062074 0.096625 0.160425
2025-06-08 0.013221 0.018757 0.026865 0.040023 0.061681 0.097545 0.165222
2025-06-15 0.012693 0.018171 0.026286 0.039631 0.061943 0.099571 0.172191
2025-06-22 0.012205 0.017623 0.025738 0.039251 0.062190 0.101570 0.179256
2025-06-29 0.011652 0.016953 0.024968 0.038466 0.061690 0.102194 0.183694
2025-07-06 0.011412 0.016757 0.024932 0.038887 0.063292 0.106693 0.196170
2025-07-13 0.011088 0.016413 0.024644 0.038866 0.064107 0.109790 0.206088
2025-07-20 0.010890 0.016260 0.024653 0.039346 0.065838 0.114709 0.220255
2025-07-27 0.010557 0.015879 0.024273 0.039131 0.066285 0.117199 0.229473